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Say you get a free $1,000 bet at a cosmic casino.
How long does the human race have left?
They have a time machine and will reveal the answer at the end of the evening. Here are your odds and payout. What is your bet?. *
✦ Under 1 year (10,000:1 odds) ➤ (10,000:1 odds) ➤ $10M payout if correct
   ✦ Between 1 year and 10 years. ➤ (500:1 odds) ➤ $500K payout if correct
   ✦ Between 10 years and 50 years. ➤ (100:1 odds) ➤ $100K payout if correct
   ✦ Between 50 years and 100 years. ➤ (10:1 odds) ➤ $10K payout if correct
   ✦ Between 100 years and 250 years. ➤ (5:1 odds) ➤ $5K payout if correct
   ✦ Between 250 years and 1,000 years. ➤ (1:1 odds) ➤ $1K payout if correct
   ✦ More than 1,000 years. ➤ (1:10 odds) ➤ $100 payout if correct

An alien historian has studied over 1 million worlds with humanoid life. What percentage do you think survived more than 250 years after splitting the atom? She knows the answer but wants to know what you think before she tells you. *
✦ Under 10%
   ✦ 10% to 25%
   ✦25% to 50%
   ✦ 50% to 75%
   ✦ 75% to 100%

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